Up to 80 million of these seabirds seem to be doing quite well. Scientists were stunned that Little Auks seem to be adapting with ease to arctic warming.
“Contrary to our hypothesis, the birds responded to a wide range of sea
surface temperatures via plasticity of their foraging behavior,
allowing them to maintain their fitness levels. Predicted effects of climate change are significantly attenuated by such
plasticity, confounding attempts to forecast future effects of climate
change using envelope models.”
Using those same confounded envelope models, and apparently... contrary to their new hypothesis... the scientists immediately forecast the future demise of the thriving seabirds.
“It seems that little auks have reached the limits of their physiological and behavioral capacities.”